28 Nov 2023 -

Semiconductor industry forecast: surging towards sustainable growth

science interconnections

In an electrifying turn of events, the semiconductor industry is poised for a robust recovery, as forecasted by the International Data Corporation (IDC). The sector, crucial to the global electronics industry, is set to witness a 20.2% growth in 2024, escalating the market to a staggering $632.8 billion. This upward revision from IDC’s previous estimate of $625.9 billion signals a pivotal shift, marking the industry’s departure from a recent slump.

IDC attributes this anticipated surge to several factors, key among them being the recovery of demand in major markets like the United States and China. The latter is expected to begin its rebound in the second half of 2024, contributing significantly to this growth. The market is also buoyed by the resilience of the U.S. market, which continues to demonstrate robust demand.

One of the most exciting aspects of this forecast is the role of electrification in driving semiconductor content over the next decade. With the automotive and industrial sectors expected to return to normal inventory levels by the second half of 2024, there’s an evident alignment with the global shift towards electrification. This alignment is not just a boon for semiconductor manufacturers but also a testament to the industry’s adaptability and forward-thinking approach.

Furthermore, the introduction of new technologies and flagship products, such as AI PCs and AI-enabled smartphones, is expected to increase the value and demand for semiconductors across various market segments. This innovation-driven growth is a clear indicator of the semiconductor industry’s pivotal role in shaping the future of technology.

IDC’s report also highlights a significant upgrade in the semiconductor market outlook, transitioning from “TROUGH” to “Sustainable GROWTH”. This shift is underpinned by the expected improvement in capital expenditures by the first half of 2024, initiating a new investment cycle within the supply chain. This cyclical recovery is further evidenced by the projected worldwide semiconductor revenue growth to $526.5 billion in 2023, a recovery from the downturn experienced in 2022.

The semiconductor industry stands on the brink of a new era of growth and innovation. Driven by recovering markets, electrification, and technological advancements, the industry is set to reclaim its pivotal role in the global tech landscape. This resurgence is not just a boon for semiconductor manufacturers but a beacon of progress for the broader electronics industry.

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